Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000862 0.000897 0.000933 0.000972 0.001014 0.001057 0.001105
2025-10-19 0.000801 0.000852 0.000907 0.000968 0.001036 0.001109 0.001193
2025-10-26 0.000750 0.000813 0.000881 0.000959 0.001049 0.001148 0.001267
2025-11-02 0.000717 0.000788 0.000867 0.000961 0.001071 0.001196 0.001351
2025-11-09 0.000682 0.000759 0.000845 0.000950 0.001076 0.001223 0.001411
2025-11-16 0.000651 0.000732 0.000825 0.000939 0.001078 0.001245 0.001464
2025-11-23 0.000639 0.000726 0.000827 0.000954 0.001112 0.001306 0.001566
2025-11-30 0.000622 0.000713 0.000820 0.000957 0.001130 0.001347 0.001646
2025-12-07 0.000600 0.000692 0.000802 0.000945 0.001128 0.001362 0.001691
2025-12-14 0.000578 0.000671 0.000783 0.000930 0.001121 0.001369 0.001724
2025-12-21 0.000561 0.000656 0.000770 0.000922 0.001123 0.001387 0.001774
2025-12-28 0.000534 0.000626 0.000739 0.000889 0.001090 0.001356 0.001751
2026-01-04 0.000521 0.000615 0.000730 0.000886 0.001096 0.001380 0.001810
2026-01-11 0.000509 0.000604 0.000722 0.000883 0.001103 0.001405 0.001871
2026-01-18 0.000496 0.000591 0.000710 0.000875 0.001103 0.001419 0.001917
2026-01-25 0.000487 0.000584 0.000706 0.000876 0.001115 0.001452 0.001993
2026-02-01 0.000474 0.000571 0.000694 0.000867 0.001112 0.001462 0.002033
2026-02-08 0.000462 0.000559 0.000683 0.000857 0.001107 0.001469 0.002069
2026-02-15 0.000460 0.000559 0.000687 0.000870 0.001136 0.001527 0.002192
2026-02-22 0.000454 0.000554 0.000685 0.000873 0.001149 0.001562 0.002279
2026-03-01 0.000443 0.000543 0.000673 0.000862 0.001143 0.001566 0.002312
2026-03-08 0.000431 0.000530 0.000660 0.000849 0.001131 0.001562 0.002331
2026-03-15 0.000423 0.000522 0.000652 0.000843 0.001130 0.001574 0.002378